If the polarization between Brazil’s president, Jair Bolsonaro, and former head of state, Lula da Silva, had become a reality, it has now gained exponentially strength as the vote approaches, however, the beneficial vote.
The rejection rate of the two is clear: Bolsonaro has over 50% and Lola about 40%.
However, this pragmatic movement is gaining more power from the campaign of the Labor Party (PT) candidate, which seeks to “eat” enough votes from the so-called Third Way candidates and thus achieve a first-round victory. .
In São Paulo, three young people who would have voted for the first or second time unanimously told Lusa that they had chosen the beneficial voting path because they did not believe that candidates other than Lula da Silva or Bolsonaro had a chance of winning the election.
“It’s bad, but it’s hard to think of how to reverse this situation. The two polarized sides have a lot of identity [com o povo brasileiro]. Even if a party is bad, people adopt their ideology as if they were a fan of a football team,” said 22-year-old Lusa Gabriel de Lima Correia.
Antonio Pedro Reale Barbosa, 20, also believed that “a beneficial vote is the only option” in Brazil for a long time.
Those who seek to vote with ideals in which they did not stand out and this vote ends with a vote of protest. In my opinion, a meaningful vote is the only option,” Lusa emphasizes.
Anna Carolina Scott Ferraz, 22, says she likes Senator Simon Tibbett’s education proposals, but she shouldn’t vote for them because, she admits, she has no chance of winning and will therefore have to vote for one of two blocks in the second round.
In the country’s capital, Brasilia, the future official residence of Bolsonaro or Lula, Renato Augusto, 33, a steakhouse employee born in Salvador da Bahia, Lusa, told that in 2018 he voted for Cerro Gomez, a centre-left candidate. Which now ranks third in the polls, at 7%, who lost out in voting intentions, as a result of the beneficial vote of Lula da Silva, according to analysts.
“Now I will not vote for Ciro anymore. Brazil needs to remove this genocide,” he says, referring to Bolsonaro, ending: “I will go with Lula in the first round.”
There’s also the opposite, as in the case of Danielle Souza, 35, who works for a condominium management company in Brasilia, who told Lusa she was considering voting for Soraya Thronic (a neoliberal from Onão Brasil with roughly 1% of voting intentions). ) But who will vote for Bolsonaro because he considers Lula a “thief”.
The trend, however, is that third-way voices can “fly” to Lula, especially as his campaign is determined to poach among those who support Cerro Gomez or Senator Simon Tibet.
70% of these voters, according to datafolha, guarantee that they will not vote in any way for Bolsonaro and only 48% have that feeling for Lula.
Polls also show that about a third of Ciro and Simon’s supporters are considering changing the vote and pressing 13 (Lula’s ballot box number) in the first round.
And that’s exactly what Lula’s campaign is betting on winning on October 2, without the need for a second round: According to the poll published by Datafolha on Thursday, Lula has 47% of the vote against 33% for the incumbent. Population, difference in difference by 2 percentage points compared to the last survey.
Given only the correct votes, Lula’s margin of error is between 48% and 50%, the latter being his “golden ticket” to victory in the first round.
On Thursday, Lula received another strong backing: Former Brazilian President Fernando Henrique Cardoso now realizes he supports the former president, asking voters to vote “for someone who is committed to fighting poverty and inequality, who advocates equal rights for all, regardless of race, gender and sexual orientation, that he takes pride in.” the cultural diversity of the Brazilian nation.
The day before, an open letter signed by left-wing politicians and intellectuals from Latin American countries asked Ciro Gomez to give up his presidential candidacy in Brazil, to facilitate Lula da Silva’s victory in the presidential election, a request that had already been submitted before. Musicians Tico Santa Cruz and Caetano Veloso, who supported Ciro in the 2018 presidential candidacy and are now calling for a beneficial vote for Lula da Silva to prevent Bolsonaro’s re-election, through the “Vira, vira voo” campaign.
Several artists such as Maria Bethany and Daniela Mercury participated in this campaign.
This week he joined one of the authors of the “impeachment” motion against former President Dilma Rousseff, in 2015, declaring his support for the Labor candidate, and on Monday morning Lula campaigned another “witch operation” for the beneficial vote, with six ex-Presidents. Brazilian presidential candidates, left to right, appeal to vote for the former head of state.
Ciro Gomes’ campaign unfolded in campaign actions, promotional videos and interviews criticizing the call for a beneficial vote for Lula, with Ciro Gomes calling the Labor campaign a “left-wing fascist”.
“There is a left-wing fascism led by the Workers’ Party, they are trying to simplify the debate in a quite dramatic way, they want nothing more, nothing less, than to eliminate the alternatives. This is a tragedy for a country like Brazil,” he said. announced.
Simon Tibet, who ranked fourth with 5% of voting intentions, also responded, saying: “I see this as disrespect for former President Lula towards democracy and the Brazilian people.”
“Who is the next Lula? What is the education project? for development? How will the private sector deal with these much-needed partnerships?” he asked.
Brazil’s presidential elections are scheduled for the first round on October 2 and the second, if necessary, on the 30th.
“Hardcore alcohol maven. Hipster-friendly analyst. Introvert. Devoted social media advocate.”
